US Forecasting Leader - CVRM

AstraZeneca•Wilmington, DE
•Hybrid

About The Position

The US Forecasting Leader will lead forecasting for a US dyslipidemia portfolio, integrating patient-level data and scenario planning to guide decisions for launch and in-line brands. The role partners with Commercial, Competitive Intelligence, Finance, Medical, Market Access, Pricing and other senior stakeholders to align assumptions, evaluate scenarios and convert complex analytics into actionable direction. This position owns forecasting and planning cycles, provides market and disease-area expertise, builds patient-based models, tracks performance, and advocates for customer insights. It also drives forecasting capability development, AI-enabled analytics and automation, governance, continuous improvement, and the adoption of external forecasting practices. The role is based on a hybrid office schedule, with an average minimum of three days per week in the office and flexibility in balancing in-person work.

Requirements

  • At least 8 years of pharmaceutical industry experience, including revenue forecasting using epidemiology-based methodologies, claims, EHR/EMR and other patient-level datasets, sales data analysis, and qualitative and quantitative primary market research.
  • Proficiency in accessing, analyzing and interpreting large longitudinal patient-level datasets, including open and closed medical claims, EHR/EMR data, IQVIA prescription and sales data, and other syndicated sources.
  • Advanced proficiency in Microsoft Excel and PowerPoint.
  • Bachelor’s degree from an accredited college or university.

Nice To Haves

  • Advanced modeling skills using Visual Basic, Power BI, SQL, R or Python.
  • Excellent communication, influencing, leadership and interpersonal skills, including the ability to work with senior business leaders and cross-functional partners.
  • Strategic and critical thinking, with the ability to engage, build and maintain credibility with Commercial Leadership teams.
  • Ability to manage multiple projects, timelines and priorities with internal stakeholders and external vendors.
  • Advanced degree such as a Master’s, MBA or PhD.

Responsibilities

  • Lead development and delivery of robust US forecasts for annual planning, long-range planning, forecast updates and business reviews, clarifying drivers and confidence ranges.
  • Serve as the forecasting authority for prioritized markets and disease areas, providing evidence-based perspectives that shape commercial strategy.
  • Build patient-based models in Excel using credible assumptions from primary and secondary sources and relevant analogs; quantify risks, opportunities and uncertainty.
  • Develop scenarios reflecting business ambition and constraints, and communicate complex analyses as compelling narratives for senior commercial, medical and finance audiences.
  • Monitor actual performance against forecasts, diagnose variances, and recommend forecast updates or targeted interventions.
  • Champion local customer insights in strategic and operational decisions so forecasts reflect market dynamics.
  • Facilitate forecast reviews and assumption-alignment sessions, documenting decisions, dissenting views, risks and follow-ups.
  • Identify, develop and embed forecasting and analytics capabilities, driving adoption and integration across teams.
  • Validate and scale generative AI and advanced automation for forecasting efficiency and scenario agility while maintaining governance and compliance.
  • Promote learning, testing and deployment of new methods, and mentor teams to improve standards and speed without compromising quality.
  • Track forecasting and analytics practices within and beyond the pharmaceutical industry and bring differentiated approaches to the organization.
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