Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler

null, ACSC Management Services Inc•Costa Mesa, CA
•$145,900 - $194,600

About The Position

The Lead Actuarial Predictive Modeler creates predictive models, primarily focused on pricing segmentation and lifetime value. The role designs, develops, and implements actuarial pricing models and predictive segmentation strategies using actuarial theory, statistical methods, and machine learning. Work includes loss cost models, new rating features, and acquisition, retention, and conversion models to support accurate, competitive, and financially sound pricing. The position drives complex, end-to-end pricing initiatives, from exploratory analysis and model development through governance, implementation, and monitoring. It partners with Actuarial, Product, Underwriting, and IT teams to translate business objectives into actuarially defensible pricing solutions, support regulatory compliance and timely rate filings, and deliver high-quality results on accelerated timelines. The role also leads model design and execution, communicates results to business partners, mentors team members, and ensures appropriate project documentation.

Requirements

  • Master's degree in an actuarial, statistical, or data science field, or an equivalent combination of education and experience.
  • 7–9 years of experience building and deploying predictive models in an insurance environment.
  • Demonstrated success implementing predictive modeling solutions for insurance use cases.
  • Strong SQL skills.
  • Ability to understand the big picture and drive initiatives through to completion.
  • Ability to work in cross-functional or departmental groups and manage multiple moving pieces.
  • Ability to communicate complex topics clearly to business leaders.
  • Advanced knowledge of ratemaking, actuarial methods and methodologies, predictive modeling, and data science methods, including how to apply them across different projects.
  • Ability to work autonomously.

Nice To Haves

  • 7–9 years of actuarial experience.
  • Strong Python skills; experience with other modeling tools and software is a plus.
  • Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society.
  • Associate of the Casualty Actuarial Society.

Responsibilities

  • Personally build predictive models for the most difficult and complex projects, ensuring solutions meet organizational strategic needs and regulatory or internal parameters.
  • Lead model design for specific tasks and ensure analytic work is executed correctly.
  • Create execution plans and assist predictive modelers in building robust, predictive models.
  • Identify and propose technologies and tools that could benefit the Predictive Modeling and Analytics business unit.
  • Communicate project results and challenges to business partners in understandable terms, and proactively communicate delays.
  • Mentor team members in development, training, and career pathing.
  • Ensure projects have appropriate documentation that accounts for potential regulatory, legal, or business concerns.
  • Drive complex pricing initiatives from exploratory analysis and model development through governance, implementation, and monitoring.
  • Partner with Actuarial, Product, Underwriting, and IT teams to develop pricing solutions, support regulatory compliance, and enable timely rate filings.

Benefits

  • Medical, dental, and vision health coverage.
  • 401(k) savings plan with company match and pension.
  • Tuition assistance.
  • Floating holidays and PTO for community volunteer programs.
  • Paid parental leave.
  • Wellness programs.
  • Employee discounts on membership, insurance, travel, entertainment, services, and more.
  • Incentive program eligibility for full-time positions, based on organizational, team, and personal performance.
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