Product Manager III

Aston Carter•Seattle, WA

1d•$65 - $69•Onsite

About The Position

This role combines advanced demand planning and product-level business forecasting with strategic program management to drive revenue-maximizing decisions across retail channels. You will own the end-to-end forecasting process, advise channel leaders on promotional strategies, and lead cross-functional reviews that shape business performance in a fast-paced, data-driven environment.

Requirements

5–7 years of relevant experience working with complex product portfolios, with a minimum of 5 years in roles focused on demand planning, forecasting, and program management.
Proven expertise in demand planning and forecasting promotional impacts, including calculating lifts and understanding price elasticities.
Strong background in B2C, finance, or traditional retail industries, with the ability to connect forecasting and planning directly to commercial and strategic outcomes.
Advanced Excel skills, including comfort with complex models, scenario analysis, and detailed data manipulation to support forecasting and performance analysis.
Ability to build and interpret unit and revenue-maximizing forecasts, partnering closely with sales channel leads to grow the business strategically through a focused set of products.
Demonstrated experience in business-focused forecasting roles that prioritize revenue growth and promotional strategy rather than solely inventory optimization or allocation.
Strong analytical and data analysis skills, with the ability to work at daily, product-level specificity and translate findings into actionable recommendations.
Solid program management capabilities, including managing forecasting cycles, workback schedules, stakeholder inputs, and strict deadlines.
High level of motivation and self-direction, with a track record of driving initiatives forward without close supervision.
Relevant forecasting and demand planning experience in environments that require close collaboration with sales and channel owners.

Nice To Haves

Four-year college degree is preferred but not required.
Experience in B2C, finance, and traditional retail industries is highly desirable.
Strong organizational skills, with the ability to manage multiple forecasting cycles and stakeholder inputs simultaneously.
Experience working in a global team environment, with the ability to collaborate across time zones and cultures.
Comfort working under strict deadlines while maintaining accuracy and attention to detail.
Experience with Anaplan or similar planning tools is a plus.
Ability to clearly articulate forecast assumptions, methodologies, and variances to both technical and non-technical stakeholders.
Cross-collaborative mindset, with the ability to influence channel owners and partners to adopt standardized forecasting processes.
Balanced skill set as both a business advisor and a numbers/model specialist, providing granular insights and practical business context.

Responsibilities

Own and manage all forecast inputs, including sales curves, baselines, and promotional lifts, to build forward-looking forecasts based on historical trends and channel-specific adjustments.
Create comprehensive promotional forecasts, including scenario models that help channel owners evaluate and compare different promotional strategies and make informed strategic decisions.
Oversee and conduct deep-dive analyses on product performance, including year-over-year comparisons, attainment tracking, and mix shifts, to identify opportunities and risks.
Provide day-to-day and week-to-week forecasting and sales reporting support to retail sales channel owners, ensuring they have timely, accurate data to guide decisions.
Develop and execute net-short analyses and manage inventory allocation during end-of-sale planning to limit overhang risk and support healthy product lifecycle management.
Manage and update all forecasting systems to ensure data accuracy, consistency, and reliability across channels and marketplaces.
Create and manage detailed workback schedules for each forecasting cycle, holding channel owners accountable for delivering inputs and meeting deadlines.
Meet regularly with channel owners to review baselines, gather feedback, incorporate changes, and document assumptions for bridging and assumption-tracking purposes.
Lead recurring forecast inspection meetings with channel owners to review performance against forecast, discuss variances, and align on required corrective or optimizing actions.
Standardize assumptions and forecasting methodologies across marketplaces, influencing channel owners to adopt consistent processes across emerging and established businesses.
Own the forecast narrative and final documentation, clearly bridging changes between forecast cycles and explaining variances in a way that is accessible to business stakeholders.
Lead Global Retail Demand Reviews, presenting insights, recommendations, and forecast outcomes to cross-functional partners.
Act as both a strategic advisor and a hands-on modeling expert, helping channel leaders design and evaluate different promotional approaches and their impact on units and revenue.
Use historical data to build future forecasts at daily, product-level specificity, ensuring granular visibility and robust business context for channel and product decisions.