Department Overview Forecast Methodologies is part of TBSM's Enterprise Stress Testing (EST), responsible for central ownership and analysis of the balance sheet and income Statement Forecast Methodologies for EWST & MST. The Canadian Line of Business Vertical team within EST is a cross-functional group supporting the end-to-end stress testing functions for TD's Canadian businesses including P&C, Wealth, and Insurance. Our work encompasses multiple workstreams including data aggregation, model execution, model development, reporting/analytics, governance, and supporting regulatory requirements. Breadth & Depth End-to-end execution of the segment stress testing processes, models, documentation, and framework Report on Stress Test Forecast Results timely and accurately, analyze the drivers to results trending. Development and implementation of econometric time-series models for use in generation of stress testing results. Act as subject matter expert on all stress testing, forecasting and ad-hoc results. Performs statistical model assumptions' tests for soundness of model theory. Maintain up-to-date documentation on execution steps, business logic, data definition, and forecast assumptions. Hands on modeling in the entire life cycle including preparation of model development report (MDR) and annual model monitoring (AMR) Liaise extensively with Finance groups, to ensure all relevant components are reported appropriately. Lead the preparation of ad hoc analysis for senior leadership. Uses sophisticated analytical thought to exercise judgement and identify solutions. Communicates difficult concepts; converts information to compelling business context and advice; influences and gains alignment across increasingly senior stakeholders. Must be able to work with minimal supervision in an unstructured and fast-paced environment.
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Job Type
Full-time
Career Level
Manager