Forecasting Senior Manager
About The Position
The Forecasting Senior Manager contributes to Amgen’s Rare Disease business as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, providing data-backed insights that support commercial success. The role develops and manages forecasts, executes and manages discussions with brand leads, and influences stakeholders across Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting. It requires understanding the relevant disease area and market. The position is part of Business Analytics & Insights (BAI) and reports to the Senior Director of Forecasting. It also oversees one contingent worker. This is a flexible commuter role associated with Amgen’s Deerfield, Illinois, or Thousand Oaks, California office. The role requires in-office attendance on Tuesdays and Wednesdays.
Requirements
- Doctorate degree and 2 years of forecasting, analytics, or finance experience; or a master’s degree and 4 years; or a bachelor’s degree and 6 years; or an associate’s degree and 10 years; or a high school diploma/GED and 12 years.
- Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP-level staff.
- Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience with analog and uptake curve analysis.
- Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling, and data analysis.
- Ability to collaborate in a team-based environment and gain alignment across an organization.
- High proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, and Power BI.
- Excellent communication skills, including presenting complex data and insights to technical and non-technical stakeholders.
- Ability to partner with business leaders to deliver high-quality predictions that guide strategic decision-making.
- Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions.
- Experience with Monte Carlo analysis and statistical trending.
Responsibilities
- Build and maintain forecasting models using techniques such as trend analysis, regression, and scenario planning.
- Incorporate internal and external data, including sales trends, competitive landscape, and market research, to refine forecasts.
- Conduct regular forecast reviews and adjust forecasts based on market dynamics, sales performance, and strategic changes.
- Collaborate with cross-functional teams to align forecasts with business strategies.
- Provide insights on performance drivers and potential risks and opportunities affecting forecasts.
- Evaluate and report the impact of market events, including competitor launches and regulatory changes, on product performance.
- Present forecasts and supporting insights to senior leadership and other stakeholders.
- Work with supply chain teams to align forecasts with inventory and operational planning.
- Serve as the subject matter expert on forecast assumptions and methodologies.
- Use data visualization tools such as Tableau and Power BI to communicate insights.
- Use forecasting software and statistical tools to improve accuracy and efficiency.
- Explore and implement new data sources and analytical techniques to enhance forecasting processes.
- Oversee one contingent worker.
Benefits
- Health and welfare plans for staff and eligible dependents.
- Retirement and savings plan with company contributions.
- Group medical, dental, and vision coverage.
- Life and disability insurance.
- Flexible spending accounts.
- Discretionary annual bonus program, or a sales-based incentive plan for field sales representatives.
- Stock-based long-term incentives.
- Award-winning time-off plans.
- Career development opportunities.
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What This Job Offers
Job Type
Full-time
Career Level
Senior
Education Level
High school or GED
