Forecasting Senior Manager

Amgen•Deerfield, IL
•$141,737 - $191,761•Hybrid

About The Position

Amgen is seeking a Forecasting Senior Manager to support its Rare Disease business within Business Analytics & Insights. The Forecasting team partners with Commercial leadership by providing data-backed insights to support commercial success. In this role, the Senior Manager will execute and manage discussions with brand leads and influence stakeholders across Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, applying an understanding of the relevant disease area and market. The position reports to the Senior Director of Forecasting and oversees one contingent worker. This is a flexible commuter role based in Deerfield, Illinois, or Thousand Oaks, California. The employee is required to work in the office on Tuesdays and Wednesdays. The role develops and maintains forecasts, translates market and business developments into insights, communicates forecasts to senior leaders and partners with supply chain teams to align forecasts with inventory and operational planning. It also applies and improves forecasting methods, software, data sources, and analytical tools.

Requirements

  • One of the following education and experience combinations in forecasting, analytics, or finance: doctorate degree and 2 years of experience; master's degree and 4 years; bachelor's degree and 6 years; associate's degree and 10 years; or high school diploma/GED and 12 years.
  • Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence executive director- and vice president-level staff.
  • Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling, and data analysis.
  • Ability to collaborate effectively in a team-based environment and gain alignment across an organization.
  • High proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, and Power BI.
  • Excellent communication skills, including the ability to present complex data and insights to technical and non-technical stakeholders.
  • Ability to interpret data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions.

Nice To Haves

  • Knowledge of and experience with industry internal and secondary data sources.
  • Experience conducting analog and uptake curve analysis.
  • Experience with Monte Carlo analysis and statistical trending.
  • Ability to partner with business leaders to deliver high-quality predictions that guide strategic decision-making.

Responsibilities

  • Build and maintain forecasting models using techniques such as trend analysis, regression, and scenario planning.
  • Incorporate internal and external data, including sales trends, competitive information, and market research, to refine forecasts.
  • Conduct regular forecast reviews and adjust forecasts based on market dynamics, sales performance, and strategic changes.
  • Collaborate with cross-functional teams to align forecasts with business strategies.
  • Provide insights on performance drivers and potential risks and opportunities affecting forecasts.
  • Evaluate and report the impact of market events, including competitor launches and regulatory changes, on product performance.
  • Present forecasts and supporting insights to senior leadership and other stakeholders.
  • Work with supply chain teams to align forecasts with inventory and operational planning.
  • Serve as a subject matter expert on forecast assumptions and methodologies.
  • Use data visualization tools, forecasting software, and statistical tools to improve communication, forecast accuracy, and efficiency.
  • Explore and implement new data sources and analytical techniques to enhance forecasting processes.
  • Oversee one contingent worker.

Benefits

  • Retirement and Savings Plan with company contributions.
  • Group medical, dental, and vision coverage.
  • Life and disability insurance.
  • Flexible spending accounts.
  • Discretionary annual bonus program, or a sales-based incentive plan for field sales representatives.
  • Stock-based long-term incentives.
  • Time-off plans.
  • Flexible work models where possible.
  • Career development opportunities.
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