Forecasting Analyst - Aftermarket Parts
About The Position
The Forecasting Analyst analyzes and interprets data to create and maintain consensus forecast plans at multiple levels of aggregation. The role uses statistical models and insights from Product Management, Sales, and Marketing to forecast expected sales from Johnson Controls parts distribution centers to indirect and direct customers. The analyst manages a forecast plan worth several hundred million dollars across multiple business units. The role develops and improves demand forecasts, monitors forecast performance, leads demand review meetings, and collaborates with cross-functional teams to support aftermarket parts planning. It also partners with Analytics, Inventory Optimization, Supply Planning, and Product Management to improve supply chain metrics, address demand and supply imbalances, optimize inventory, and manage transitions for end-of-life and newly introduced parts.
Requirements
- Bachelor’s degree in Supply Chain, Statistics, Data Science, Business Analytics, or Mathematics.
- Five years of proven experience in data analytics, preferably in supply chain and logistics.
- Proven experience in statistical analysis, data modeling and manipulation, and predictive analytics.
- Willingness to travel domestically and internationally 20–30% to develop firsthand understanding of sites and organizational challenges.
Nice To Haves
- Advanced degree, such as an MS and/or MBA.
- Proficiency with statistical and visualization tools such as Python, R, and Power BI.
- APICS CPIM certification.
- Proficiency with supply planning software and advanced analytics tools.
- Experience collaborating with multiple sites and business units to achieve business objectives.
- Strong verbal and written communication skills.
- Familiarity with the building technologies market.
Responsibilities
- Develop accurate and reliable forecasts using statistical forecasting models, demand planning tools, and market intelligence.
- Analyze historical sales data, seasonality, and market trends to identify factors influencing aftermarket demand and improve forecast accuracy.
- Monitor forecast accuracy and bias, report results to stakeholders, identify causes of forecast errors, and implement corrective actions.
- Continuously refine and improve forecasting methodologies.
- Establish and lead demand review meetings to develop a consensus forecast.
- Collaborate with Sales, Marketing, and Product Management to gather inputs and develop consensus forecasts.
- Collect, analyze, and interpret large datasets to identify patterns, correlations, and trends relevant to aftermarket parts planning.
- Partner with the Analytics team to develop digital solutions that provide insight into supply chain metrics, including customer on-time delivery, forecast accuracy and bias, and fill loss analysis.
- Evaluate forecast plans against top-down business objectives and identify gaps.
- Work with the Inventory Optimization Analyst and Supply Planning team to resolve complex demand and supply imbalances, improve customer on-time delivery, and optimize inventory levels.
- Partner with Product Management to transition end-of-life parts and introduce new products.
- Develop, maintain, and use forecast performance metrics, including forecast accuracy and bias.
- Collaborate with cross-functional teams to streamline forecasting and planning processes and identify opportunities for automation and system enhancements.
Benefits
- Competitive benefits package.
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What This Job Offers
Job Type
Full-time
Career Level
Mid Level
