Forecasting Analyst (Research Analyst 4)

State of Oregon•Salem, OR
•$6,276 - $9,644•Hybrid

About The Position

The Forecasting Analyst serves as the project leader for major research studies, including actuarial and financial analyses and econometric forecasting. The role designs, implements, and evaluates complex research and forecasting methodologies and applies complex analytical and forecasting techniques to major research studies and statistical and fiscal projects. The analyst also analyzes data, prepares comprehensive interpretative statistical reports, and consults with agency leadership to interpret and explain reports. The position is with the Department of Consumer and Business Services’ Central Services Division, which provides accounting, budgeting, collections, procurement, facilities management, information technology, human resources, and research services to the department. The position may be performed by telework part time after the incumbent becomes proficient in working independently; regular scheduled office hours are also required.

Requirements

  • Meet one of the following qualification pathways: a bachelor's degree in any discipline that included six quarter units in statistics or quantitative analysis methods and procedures, plus three years of experience using computerized applications to independently gather, compile, and analyze data and prepare narrative or statistical reports, including two years coordinating complex research projects; or five years of such research experience, including two years coordinating complex research projects.
  • Experience in government finance.
  • Ability to gather, compile, and analyze data and present findings in tabular, graphic, or narrative form.
  • Strong verbal and written communication skills for diverse audiences.
  • Skill in locating and interpreting economic and labor market information.
  • Proficiency with statistical software to clean, tabulate, and simulate data, and to develop econometric models.
  • General knowledge of finance and government.
  • Extensive knowledge of time-series forecasting or data analysis.
  • Extensive knowledge of forecasting techniques, research design, computer applications, and programming languages.
  • Extensive knowledge of microeconomic and macroeconomic principles and theories, comparative economic systems, regulatory and consumer factors affecting economic markets, cost/benefit analysis, and economic forecasting and evaluation.
  • Extensive knowledge of local, regional, national, and international economic issues.
  • Extensive knowledge of the agency's function, philosophy, and background, and the laws and regulations affecting the agency.

Responsibilities

  • Lead major research studies, including actuarial and financial analyses and econometric forecasting.
  • Design, implement, and evaluate complex research and forecasting methodologies.
  • Apply complex analytical and forecasting techniques and concepts to research studies and statistical and fiscal projects.
  • Analyze data and prepare comprehensive interpretative statistical reports.
  • Consult with agency leadership to interpret and explain reports.

Benefits

  • 11 paid holidays per year.
  • Competitive benefits package.
  • Advancement and learning opportunities.
  • Possible eligibility for the Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program.
  • A 4% cost-of-living adjustment effective January 1, 2027, to be paid in the February 1, 2027 paycheck.
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