Forecast Analyst (Balance Sheet / Cash Flow)

Philip Morris International•Tampa, FL

4d•Hybrid

About The Position

The Forecast Analyst is responsible for delivering accurate and timely Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, and Net Working Capital (NWC) forecasts through robust financial modeling and structured analytical processes. The role supports the company’s financial planning cycles by developing projections, assessing key drivers, and ensuring alignment with corporate standards for forecasting and variance analysis. The analyst performs variance analysis comparing actual results against projections, highlights the drivers behind deviations, and provides insights that support informed decision-making. In addition, the role contributes to the budgeting process, assuming responsibility for system inputs and ensuring data completeness, accuracy, and adherence to official forecasting instructions. Overall, the Forecast Analyst ensures transparency, accuracy, and consistency across financial outlooks, enabling senior management to anticipate working capital needs, assess liquidity, and manage cash flow effectively.

Requirements

Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Economics, Business Administration or similar.
Advanced Excel proficiency (formulas, modeling, scenario analysis)
3–6 years of experience in Finance, FP&A, Controlling, Treasury, or Corporate Finance roles involving forecasting and analytical work.
Hands-on experience with Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, and NWC forecasting, ideally within a multinational or matrix organization.
Proven background in variance analysis, interpreting actual vs. forecast outcomes and explaining key drivers.
Strong command of financial modeling, especially for Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, and NWC drivers.
Solid understanding of working capital components, cash conversion cycles, and liquidity indicators.
Ability to perform detailed variance analysis with clear articulation of business drivers.
Ability to identify risks, opportunities, and structural trends, and articulate their business impact.
Proactive, solution-oriented mindset with the ability to work independently and manage competing priorities.
Continuous-improvement mindset, driving automation, efficiency, and reporting enhancements.
Comfortable working with multiple teams (Finance, Controlling, Treasury) to align the assumptions.
High attention to the details with strong ownership of accuracy and timeliness.
Fluency with AI-based applications as a productivity/efficiency work tool
Legally authorized to work in the U.S.

Responsibilities

Develop Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, and Net Working Capital (NWC) forecasts using structured financial modeling and aligned with corporate forecasting standards.
Perform variance analysis comparing actual results versus projections, clearly identifying drivers and explaining deviations.
Support the budgeting process, including preparation of projected financial statements and alignment of key assumptions.
Manage system inputs, ensuring timely, accurate, and compliant data submission.
Monitor key balance sheet accounts and working capital metrics to evaluate financial risks and implications for liquidity.
Collaborate with Finance, Controlling, and cross-functional partners to validate assumptions and ensure forecast consistency.
Contribute to improvements in forecasting accuracy through enhanced data governance, standardization, and process optimization.
Prepare clear, actionable insights for management reviews, highlighting financial trends, risks, and opportunities.