Commercial Forecasting Assoc Dir

Amgen • Thousand Oaks, CA

2d • Remote

About The Position

Join Amgen’s Mission of Serving Patients At Amgen, if you feel like you’re part of something bigger, it’s because you are. Our shared mission—to serve patients living with serious illnesses—drives all that we do. Since 1980, we’ve helped pioneer the world of biotech in our fight against the world’s toughest diseases. With our focus on four therapeutic areas –Oncology, Inflammation, General Medicine, and Rare Disease– we reach millions of patients each year. As a member of the Amgen team, you’ll help make a lasting impact on the lives of patients as we research, manufacture, and deliver innovative medicines to help people live longer, fuller happier lives. Our award-winning culture is collaborative, innovative, and science based. If you have a passion for challenges and the opportunities that lay within them, you’ll thrive as part of the Amgen team. Join us and transform the lives of patients while transforming your career.

Requirements

• Bachelor’s degree (or foreign equivalent) in Business Administration, Marketing, Healthcare Management or a related field and 6 years of experience in the job offered or in a commercial forecasting or consultant related occupation
• 6 years of experience in developing patient-based forecasting models, including dynamic patient flow modeling and cohort-based projections, to inform product strategy in the biopharmaceutical industry
• 6 years of experience in quantitative analysis techniques, including statistical trending, time series analysis, regression modeling, smoothing techniques, and Monte Carlo simulation
• 6 years of experience utilizing commercial pharmaceutical datasets, including IQVIA such as Xponent, Symphony Health, National Audit Rx, and longitudinal patient data such as LAAD (Longitudinal Access and Adjudicated Data) for forecast development and market insights
• 6 years of experience with global epidemiology data for incidence, prevalence, treatment rates, and line-of-therapy progression to support forecast modeling and strategic planning
• 6 years of experience with global market access and reimbursement frameworks, including the ability to incorporate payer landscape and policy scenarios into forecasting and business decision models
• 6 years of experience with Excel functions and forecasting tools, including pivot tables, lookup formulas, scenario modeling, and probabilistic modeling using software such as Microsoft Excel and RISK or Crystal Ball
• Experience in oncology therapeutic area, with working knowledge of immuno-oncology (I/O) treatment paradigms, novel emerging classes, competitive landscape, and clinical development trends
• 2 years of experience integrating AI tools including Risk and Crystal Ball or ChatGPT and Copilot for enterprise systems including Anaplan

Responsibilities

• Primary point of contact for Brand Lead and senior Therapeutic Area leaders to engage in the forecasting deliverables
• Facilitate consensus-building among stakeholders to establish clear, transparent, and rigorous WW sales expectations for the pipeline assets by gaining their alignment and endorsement for forecast assumptions
• Help leadership identify actionable strategies to improve commercial potential by identifying and prioritizing relevant risks & opportunities
• Provide recommendations on whether to proceed with product development or discontinue certain projects based on market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals
• Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions
• Develop an objective point of view of brand strategy by integrating insights across multiple functions and capability areas
• Leverage communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended course of action
• Quantify uncertainty with scenario planning and advanced simulation models including Monte Carlo analysis and statistical trending
• Utilize an in-depth understanding of diverse pharmaceutical data sources such as LAAD, National Audit Rx, Xponent, Epidemiology data sources and their nuances to develop and implement enhanced forecasting approaches and methodologies
• Create and deliver effective presentations that are transparent and articulate all key variables in the forecast, ensuring clarity and comprehensive understanding for stakeholders involved in decision-making processes
• Collaborate with the broader CD&A (Commercial Data & Analytics) organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into the development and refinement of forecasts to enhance the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization
• Drive productivity and efficiency, streamlining forecasting processes where possible, developing best practices and leading internal forecasting initiatives as appropriate

Benefits

• stock
• retirement
• medical
• life and disability insurance
• eligibility for an annual bonus or for sales roles, other incentive compensation
• A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions, group medical, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and flexible spending accounts
• A discretionary annual bonus program, or for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive plan
• Stock-based long-term incentives
• Award-winning time-off plans
• Flexible work models, including remote and hybrid work arrangements, where possible

What This Job Offers

• Job Type: Full-time
• Career Level: Director