Associate Director, GTN Strategy & Forecasting

Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

5d • $150,034 - $224,250

About The Position

The Associate Director, GTN Strategy & Forecasting is a critical financial and strategic role responsible for projecting and managing the multi-billion dollar revenue deductions across the company's portfolio. This role sits at the high-stakes intersection of commercial strategy and finance. The successful candidate will lead the predictive modeling for channel distribution and revenue erosion across all commercial and government segments. Your forecasting models will directly influence corporate financial guidance, pipeline commercialization strategies, and high-stakes Payer/PBM contracting decisions. You will be the definitive expert on how channel mix shifts impact the bottom line.

Requirements

• Bachelor’s Degree in Finance, Accounting, Economics, or a highly quantitative field is required.
• Minimum of 5–7 years of experience in the pharmaceutical or biotech industry, with a direct focus on GTN finance, commercial forecasting, or market access analytics.
• Proven experience working with massive longitudinal datasets and healthcare data aggregators (e.g., IQVIA, Symphony, Managed Markets Insights).
• Accountability for Results - Stay focused on key strategic objectives, be accountable for high standards of performance, and take an active role in leading change.
• Strategic Thinking & Problem Solving - Make decisions considering the long-term impact to customers, patients, employees, and the business.
• Patient & Customer Centricity - Maintain an ongoing focus on the needs of our customers and/or key stakeholders.
• Impactful Communication - Communicate with logic, clarity, and respect. Influence at all levels to achieve the best results for Otsuka.
• Respectful Collaboration - Seek and value others’ perspectives and strive for diverse partnerships to enhance work toward common goals.
• Empowered Development - Play an active role in professional development as a business imperative.

Nice To Haves

• MBA, CPA, or CFA designation is highly preferred.

Responsibilities

• Build and maintain dynamic forecasting models to project GTN discount reserves, pipeline accruals, and erosion percentages, considering channel mix and discount rate predictions. Responsible for GTN forecasts for every major planning cycle.
• Analyze and forecast complex discount streams, including commercial rebates, Medicare Part D coverage gaps, Managed Medicaid rebates, 340B discounts, and patient copay assistance cards.
• Run predictive simulations to analyze the financial impact of major healthcare policy updates, inflation penalties, and pipeline drug launches on overall GTN health.
• Work closely with Pre-Deal groups to understand and highlight overall GTN impact.
• Partner closely with Finance & Accounting during financial close cycles to evaluate forecast-to-actual variances and adjust balance sheet accrual strategies.
• Manage and optimize the pipeline "true-up" process, tracking delayed payer utilization data against historical accrual assumptions to prevent financial line-item surprises.
• Collaborate with the Government Pricing team to monitor how commercial contract updates alter Medicaid Best Price and Average Manufacturer Price (AMP), 340B, factoring these shifts back into the core GTN model.
• Validate and clean massive longitudinal datasets and healthcare data streams (e.g., IQVIA, Symphony, internal rebate systems) to ensure forecasting model inputs are accurate.
• Serve as the central financial hub connecting Pricing & Contracting, Brand Marketing, Finance & Accounting, Data & Analytics, and Government Pricing.
• Translate data models into high-level, clear visual narratives for Budget and Forecast updates; drive strategic risks/opportunity discussions.
• Ensure all forecasting processes adhere strictly to internal financial controls, Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) compliance, and accounting standards for revenue recognition.

Benefits

• Comprehensive medical, dental, vision, prescription drug coverage
• Company provided basic life, accidental death & dismemberment, short-term and long-term disability insurance
• Tuition reimbursement
• Student loan assistance
• A generous 401(k) match
• Flexible time off
• Paid holidays
• Paid leave programs

What This Job Offers

• Job Type: Full-time
• Career Level: Senior