Sr. Director, Commercial Forecasting & Analytics

Neurocrine Biosciences • San Diego, CA

1d • $230,000 - $314,000

About The Position

A strategic enterprise leader responsible for defining, governing, and continuously advancing the U.S. commercial forecasting and advanced analytics capability across the in-market portfolio, launch assets, and pipeline. This role serves as the enterprise authority for demand, revenue, and scenario forecasting, ensuring forecasts are strategically aligned, analytically rigorous, and decision-ready for executive leadership.
As a trusted advisor to senior and executive leaders, the Senior Director shapes commercial and financial strategy by delivering high-impact insights that inform long-range planning, investment decisions, portfolio prioritization, and operational execution. This role leads a multi-layered forecasting and analytics organization, establishing scalable methodologies, governance, and best practices that enable enterprise-wide consistency, agility, and long-term value creation.

Requirements

• Bachelor’s degree in business, economics, statistics, mathematics, life sciences, or a related quantitative discipline required AND 15+ years of experience in pharmaceutical commercial forecasting and/or analytics, including leadership responsibility across launches and lifecycle management OR Master's degree AND 13+ years of related experience OR Extensive experience building, leading, and developing forecasting or analytics organizations required
• Core Competencies Deep expertise in U.S. pharmaceutical commercial forecasting, scenario modeling, and portfolio analytics within a complex, matrixed environment
• Strong strategic, financial, and enterprise acumen with a clear understanding of commercial, market access, and P&L dynamics
• Proven ability to influence executive stakeholders and shape enterprise strategy through data-driven insight.
• Exceptional communication, leadership, and change-management skills, with demonstrated success leading through ambiguity
• Established people leader with experience building and scaling high-performing teams
• Technical & Functional Expertise Recognized internal thought leader in forecasting and analytics, with experience in advanced modeling, uncertainty analysis, and multi-source data integration
• Strong proficiency in Excel and PowerPoint; familiarity with forecasting platforms, analytics systems, and data visualization tools preferred

Responsibilities

• Enterprise Forecast Ownership, Strategy & Governance Accountable for the integrity, credibility, and strategic relevance of the U.S. commercial forecast across all in-market brands, launch assets, and pipeline scenarios
• Defines and governs forecasting strategy for Long-Range Planning (LRP), Annual Operating Plan (AOP), and quarterly Latest Estimate (LE) processes in close partnership with Finance and Executive Leadership
• Establishes and enforces enterprise-wide forecasting standards, including assumptions, methodologies, data sources, and business rules to ensure transparency, consistency, auditability, and regulatory compliance
• Oversees forecasting governance frameworks that meet internal control requirements and support executive- and Board-level decision-making
• Provides executive leadership with clear articulation of key value drivers, risks, opportunities, uncertainties, and trade-offs, proactively shaping strategic discussions and outcomes
• Strategic Forecasting & Advanced Analytics Leadership Defines the vision and multi-year roadmap for commercial forecasting and advanced analytics, ensuring alignment with enterprise strategy and long-term growth objectives.
• Oversees the development and evolution of best-in-class forecasting models, including scenario planning, sensitivity analysis, risk-adjusted forecasting, and portfolio-level trade-off analysis
• Drives innovation by integrating primary research, secondary data (claims, sales, specialty pharmacy), competitive intelligence, and advanced analytical techniques to enhance forecast accuracy and strategic insight
• Champions predictive and prescriptive analytics, leveraging emerging tools and methodologies to improve decision speed, agility, and foresight
• Actively challenges assumptions, pressure-tests scenarios, and synthesizes insights across functions to strengthen forecast confidence and executive readiness
• Executive & Enterprise Partnership Acts as the primary commercial forecasting and advanced analytics advisor to Finance and a trusted strategic partner to executive leaders across Commercial, Market Access, Medical, Supply Chain, IT, and Corporate Strategy
• Translates complex analyses into clear, concise, and actionable insights tailored for executive leadership, governance forums, and enterprise planning discussions
• Ensures forecasting outputs are tightly integrated with brand strategy, launch sequencing, access strategy, and operational plans, with enterprise implications clearly understood
• Embeds analytics as a core enabler of enterprise decision-making, fostering a culture of insight-led strategy and execution
• Launch, Portfolio & Lifecycle Excellence Leads forecasting and analytics readiness for major launches and portfolio expansions, including uptake scenarios, early performance diagnostics, KPI frameworks, and launch risk assessments
• Supports portfolio investment decisions, go/no-go milestones, and lifecycle optimization through rigorous scenario analysis and value-based forecasting
• Oversees performance tracking versus forecast, identifies systemic drivers of variance, and partners with leadership to recommend strategic course corrections
• Measures and communicates the business impact and ROI of forecasting and analytics initiatives at the enterprise level
• People Leadership, Capability Building & Operating Model Leads, mentors, and develops a high-performing forecasting and advanced analytics organization, managing through multiple levels of leadership as appropriate
• Builds sustainable organizational capability by establishing scalable processes, operating rhythms, tools, and governance models that support enterprise needs
• Fosters a culture of strategic thinking, innovation, accountability, and continuous improvement
• Oversees forecasting resources, external partners, and budgets to ensure efficient execution and long-term capability growth

Benefits

• Benefits offered include a retirement savings plan (with company match), paid vacation, holiday and personal days, paid caregiver/parental and medical leave, and health benefits to include medical, prescription drug, dental and vision coverage in accordance with the terms and conditions of the applicable plans.

What This Job Offers

• Job Type: Full-time
• Career Level: Director